India Aviation Industry Report - 2015

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India Aviation Industry Report - 2015

This report profiles India’s aviation industry, discussing market trends through 2014 and outlook for 2015 and beyond. The report also highlights leading players in the sector including Jet Airways (India) Ltd, SpiceJet Ltd and GMR Infrastructure Ltd.

The Indian aviation industry witnessed a period of high growth during 2003-11, with total passenger traffic growing at a CAGR of around 18%. The industry has also helped in stimulating other sectors of the economy such as tourism, hospitality and trade. However, during 2012-13, the industry saw a period of subdued growth, particularly in domestic passenger traffic.

Indian aviation sector saw a recovery in terms of passenger traffic in 2014 after the unexpected decline of 2012 and subdued growth in 2013. The recovery in passenger traffic was backed by a reduction in aviation turbine fuel (ATF) costs. The second half of 2014 saw a major decline in crude prices, which subsequently affected ATF prices. The ATF index was down by 36% y/y as compared to March 2014 figure. Lower fuel prices brought a much needed relief for Indian air carriers. Not only did it help in reducing costs but also in launching attractive discounts and offers which enhanced the passenger traffic during the first four months of FY15. Going by the trend, the Indian aviation industry is expected to witness a strong year in 2015 backed by lower fuel costs and increase in passenger traffic.

Depreciation of the Indian rupee, rise in fuel prices and highly leveraged balance sheets are the biggest challenges for the sector. Nonetheless, the rising middle class and consistent growth in tourism bodes well for the sector.

Key Points:

• In the first four months of 2015, passenger traffic at domestic terminals grew by 21% y/y. International terminal passenger traffic, meanwhile, grew by 9% y/y.

• The utilization of available passenger capacity for scheduled domestic carriers was around 83% for the first four months of 2015. JetLite recorded the highest passenger load factor, followed by Jet Airways.

• Domestic aircraft movements grew at a CAGR of 12% during 2003-11. However, it remained stagnant in 2012-13. It saw a revival in 2014, growing by 5% y/y. The growth trend continued in the first four months of 2015 with domestic aircraft movements growing by 4% y/y.

Table of Contents

1. Industry Profile
1.1 Sector overview
1.2 Sector size
1.3 Competitive landscape
1.4 Environmental scanning
1.5 Recent developments in the industry

2. Market Trends and Outlook
2.1 Key economic indicators-India
2.2 Passenger traffic
2.2.1 Passenger traffic at airport terminals
2.2.2 Passenger carried by scheduled Indian carriers
2.3 Aircraft movement
2.4 Fleet
2.5 Capacity and demand
2.6 Passenger load factor
2.7 On time performance
2.8 Air cargo trends
2.9 Airports
2.10 Market outlook

3. Leading Players and Comparative Matrix
3.1 Leading players
3.1.1 Jet Airways (India) Limited
3.1.2 SpiceJet Ltd
3.1.3 GMR Infrastructure Ltd
3.2 Comparative matrix
3.3 SWOT analysis

4. Tables and Charts
Table 1: World air passenger traffic statistics
Table 2: Revenues of leading aviation sector companies of India
Table 3: Losses in the Indian aviation sector
Table 4: Targets to be achieved in respect of civil aviation during 12th Plan
Table 5: Timeline of AirAsia's entry in the Indian aviation sector
Table 6: International destinations of scheduled Indian carriers
Table 7: Active fleet of scheduled Indian carriers
Table 8: Passenger load factor of scheduled Indian carriers
Table 9: Passenger traffic at major JV international airports
Table 10: Key financial ratios of leading players

Chart 1: Annual air passenger traffic-India
Chart 2: Y/Y air passenger traffic growth rate
Chart 3: Results of Indian general elections 2014-Seat share
Chart 4: Current account deficit and fiscal deficit
Chart 5: Quarterly GDP growth rate-India
Chart 6: Average Monthly USD to INR Exchange Rate
Chart 7: Inflation during FY14-India
Chart 8: Repo rate
Chart 9: GDP by sectors at factor prices
Chart 10: Percentage change over previous year- GDP by Sector
Chart 11: Passenger traffic at domestic terminals
Chart 12: Passenger traffic at international terminals
Chart 13: Domestic passenger traffic of scheduled Indian carriers
Chart 14: Market share of scheduled domestic airlines by passenger traffic
Chart 15: Passenger traffic of Indian carriers on scheduled international services
Chart 16: Aircraft movement at domestic terminals
Chart 17: Aircraft movement at international terminals
Chart 18: Active fleet size and average fleet age of scheduled Indian carriers
Chart 19: Share of leading aircraft manufacturers
Chart 20: Y/Y change in capacity and demand
Chart 21: On time performance of scheduled domestic airlines
Chart 22: Cargo carried by scheduled Indian carriers- Annual
Chart 23: Share of Indian carriers in domestic cargo traffic
Chart 24: Number of airports by type
Chart 25: Wholesale Price Index-ATF
Chart 26: Total number of passenger carried-Jet Airways
Chart 27: Consolidated net sales of Jet Airways
Chart 28: Profit margins of Jet Airways
Chart 29: Total number of domestic passenger carried-SpiceJet
Chart 30: Net sales of SpiceJet
Chart 31: Profit margins of SpiceJet
Chart 32: Total passenger traffic at Delhi and Hyderabad airports
Chart 33: Revenues of GMR Infra
Chart 34: Profit margins of GMR Infra

Number of pages: 34
Release Date: Tue, 30 Jun 2015