Indonesia Telecommunication Industry Report - H1, 2013

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Indonesia Telecommunication Industry Report - H1, 2013

The telecommunication industry has played an important role in the development of Indonesia’s economy over the last few years. Not only has it increased connectivity across the country, it has also helped in stimulating other sectors of the economy like banking, finance, software, hospitality and trade. The telecommunication sector in Indonesia comprises several segments, namely mobile cellular services, fixed line services, internet and broadband services, mobile valued added services and telecom infrastructure services. As of 2011, Indonesia was the world’s fifth largest telecommunication market in terms of mobile cellular subscribers after China, India, USA and Russia. It is also one of the fastest growing markets in the world.

The industry continued on its growth trend in FY12, riding on the wave of increasing data traffic and growing internet penetration. The country’s young population is driving the multimedia, broadband and internet services of the network operators. The immense popularity of social networks is evident by the fact that Indonesia was the fourth largest market for Facebook as of March 2013. Meanwhile, data traffic reported by major service providers has increased exponentially in the last four years. Data, internet and broadband services accounted for a substantial portion of operators’ revenue in the year. This has helped the operators in offsetting the decline being experienced in voice revenues.

Indonesia’s young population and rising per capita income, coupled with the improvement in telecommunication infrastructure and coverage bodes well for the sector.

Key Points:

• In FY12, mobile cellular subscriber base in Indonesia grew by 11% year on year. The big three mobile service players, namely Telkomsel, Indosat and Axiata, accounted for 83% of total cellular subscribers. Telkomsel led with 45% share. Telkomsel’s subscriber base recorded a year on year growth of 17% while Indosat recorded a year on year growth of 13.2%. XL Axiata, meanwhile, lost 1.3% of its cellular subscriber base.

• In FY12, fixed wireline subscriber grew by 3% year on year while fixed wireless subscriber base shrank by 2% year on year.

• The number of mobile broadband subscriptions touched 24million at the end of FY12.

• The mobile cellular penetration rate in Indonesia grew at a CAGR of around 30% during 2006-2011. It touched 117% at the end of FY12.

Table of Contents

1. Industry Profile
1.1 Sector overview
1.2 Sector size
1.3 Competitive landscape
1.4 Environmental scanning

2. Market Trends and Outlook
2.1 Key economic indicators-Indonesia
2.2 Mobile cellular segment
2.3 Fixed wireline segment
2.4 Fixed wireless segment
2.5 Internet & broadband segment
2.6 Industry forecast

3. Leading Players and Comparative Matrix
3.1 Leading Players
3.1.1 PT Telekomunikasi (Persero) Indonesia Tbk (Telkom Indonesia)
3.1.2 PT Indosat Tbk
3.1.3 PT XL Axiata Tbk
3.2 Comparative matrix
3.3 SWOT analysis

4. Tables and Charts

Table 1: Status of different telecommunication services segments in Indonesia
Table 2: World mobile cellular subscription statistics
Table 3: Emerging markets (Asian countries)–Mobile cellular statistics
Table 4: Foreign players in Indonesian telecom industry
Table 5: Coverage of major Indonesian mobile service players
Table 6: Segment wise revenue growth-Telkom Indonesia
Table 7: Balance sheet parameters
Table 8: Valuation matrix

Chart 1: Mobile cellular penetration rate
Chart 2: Contribution of various sectors to Indonesian GDP
Chart 3: Gross domestic product from Indonesian communication sector
Chart 4: Position of People's Representative Council after 2009 elections
Chart 5: GNI per capita, PPP-Indonesia
Chart 6: Quarterly GDP growth rate-Indonesia
Chart 7: Average Monthly USD to IDR Exchange Rate
Chart 8: Fiscal deficit-Indonesia
Chart 9: Inflation during FY12-Indonesia
Chart 10: Bank of Indonesia-Monetary policy rate
Chart 11: Q/Q change in percentage- GDP by sector
Chart 12: Number of mobile cellular subscribers-Indonesia
Chart 13: Household penetration rate of mobile cellular services
Chart 14: Share of mobile service providers in Indonesia by number of subscribers
Chart 15: Subscriber base of big three mobile service players
Chart 16: Number of cellular subscribers by region
Chart 17: Minutes of usage per subscriber per month
Chart 18: Average revenue per user per month in IDR
Chart 19: Number of fixed wireline subscribers-Indonesia
Chart 20: Household penetration rate of fixed wireline services
Chart 21: Share of fixed wireline in Indonesia by number of subscribers
Chart 22: Number of fixed wireline subscribers by region
Chart 23: Number of fixed wireless subscribers-Indonesia
Chart 24: Share of fixed wireless service in Indonesia by number of subscribers
Chart 25: Penetration of internet in Indonesia
Chart 26: Household penetration rate of mobile cellular services
Chart 27: Number of fixed broadband subscribers-Indonesia
Chart 28: Number of 3G base transceiver station
Chart 29: Forecast for internet penetration rate in Indonesia
Chart 30: Forecast for the number of fixed broadband subscriptions
Chart 31: Revenue share by different segments of Telkom Indonesia
Chart 32: Breakup of profits by segment
Chart 33: Profit margins of Telkom Indonesia
Chart 34: Indosat-Shareholding
Chart 35: Revenue share by different segments of Indosat
Chart 36: Net sales of Indosat
Chart 37: Profit margins of Indosat
Chart 38: XL-Shareholding
Chart 39: Revenue share by different segments of XL
Chart 40: Data traffic of XL
Chart 41: Profit margins of XL

Number of pages: 33
Release Date: Mon, 20 May 2013